Tulane vs Southern Methodist 11/5/2011

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Southern Methodist is a heavy favorite winning 86% of simulations over Tulane. J.J. McDermott is averaging 282 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and Zach Line is projected for 126 rushing yards and a 84% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 14% of simulations where Tulane wins, Ryan Griffin averages 0.8 TD passes vs 0.33 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.34 TDs to 0.49 interceptions. Orleans Darkwa averages 71 rushing yards and 0.87 rushing TDs when Tulane wins and 59 yards and 0.46 TDs in losses. Southern Methodist has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 94% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMETH -25

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